Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.442036 1.644837 1.865765 2.124301 2.418569 2.743122 3.128305
2025-02-02 1.181331 1.470264 1.812967 2.249406 2.790618 3.440040 4.279162
2025-02-09 1.027883 1.359031 1.775648 2.338263 3.078617 4.020401 5.311084
2025-02-16 0.902627 1.254103 1.718180 2.375761 3.284236 4.496489 6.239974
2025-02-23 0.781004 1.132904 1.617449 2.333327 3.365033 4.800077 6.952301
2025-03-02 0.691490 1.042547 1.544442 2.314237 3.466443 5.129783 7.719787
2025-03-09 0.625941 0.977589 1.497875 2.323624 3.603028 5.513703 8.592497
2025-03-16 0.570728 0.920972 1.455921 2.332271 3.734247 5.894791 9.488469
2025-03-23 0.526532 0.876055 1.426024 2.354099 3.883980 6.311956 10.472187
2025-03-30 0.473482 0.810897 1.356945 2.304587 3.911556 6.533643 11.154261
2025-04-06 0.427453 0.752442 1.292601 2.255293 3.932229 6.741502 11.825532
2025-04-13 0.382608 0.691389 1.217846 2.180257 3.900240 6.854966 12.339840
2025-04-20 0.375761 0.697060 1.258993 2.312693 4.244742 7.648243 14.128796
2025-04-27 0.368814 0.701881 1.299029 2.446833 4.604664 8.500089 16.103196
2025-05-04 0.356683 0.695694 1.318181 2.543536 4.903186 9.264409 17.981778
2025-05-11 0.337989 0.675077 1.308471 2.584316 5.098878 9.853255 19.577516
2025-05-18 0.310256 0.634119 1.256411 2.538166 5.121829 10.115624 20.559704
2025-05-25 0.288228 0.602375 1.219194 2.517404 5.191814 10.472331 21.756787
2025-06-01 0.271640 0.580088 1.198522 2.527613 5.323916 10.960096 23.258529
2025-06-08 0.256366 0.559079 1.178492 2.537017 5.454384 11.453611 24.812514
2025-06-15 0.243707 0.542442 1.165942 2.560757 5.616358 12.023605 26.575590
2025-06-22 0.224995 0.510900 1.119295 2.506908 5.606571 12.231337 27.570677
2025-06-29 0.207928 0.481452 1.074614 2.453297 5.592193 12.426878 28.553471